Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.005410 0.005973 0.006555 0.007201 0.007897 0.008623 0.009437
2024-12-29 0.004688 0.005495 0.006369 0.007381 0.008517 0.009749 0.011183
2025-01-05 0.004266 0.005223 0.006294 0.007572 0.009049 0.010694 0.012657
2025-01-12 0.003748 0.004774 0.005955 0.007405 0.009122 0.011080 0.013466
2025-01-19 0.003396 0.004479 0.005760 0.007368 0.009315 0.011578 0.014388
2025-01-26 0.003066 0.004180 0.005530 0.007263 0.009403 0.011934 0.015128
2025-02-02 0.002821 0.003967 0.005385 0.007242 0.009577 0.012382 0.015973
2025-02-09 0.002599 0.003763 0.005237 0.007201 0.009713 0.012776 0.016748
2025-02-16 0.002489 0.003698 0.005255 0.007366 0.010103 0.013483 0.017915
2025-02-23 0.002286 0.003492 0.005079 0.007267 0.010147 0.013751 0.018532
2025-03-02 0.002145 0.003363 0.004994 0.007279 0.010329 0.014189 0.019364
2025-03-09 0.002101 0.003366 0.005086 0.007526 0.010818 0.015026 0.020714
2025-03-16 0.002000 0.003283 0.005060 0.007616 0.011111 0.015625 0.021784
2025-03-23 0.001937 0.003254 0.005105 0.007805 0.011537 0.016403 0.023100
2025-03-30 0.001884 0.003233 0.005160 0.008004 0.011979 0.017208 0.024461
2025-04-06 0.001721 0.003038 0.004955 0.007830 0.011901 0.017318 0.024903
2025-04-13 0.001612 0.002917 0.004850 0.007791 0.012006 0.017669 0.025666
2025-04-20 0.001491 0.002771 0.004701 0.007681 0.012004 0.017872 0.026230
2025-04-27 0.001402 0.002671 0.004616 0.007659 0.012124 0.018238 0.027016
2025-05-04 0.001315 0.002567 0.004520 0.007617 0.012210 0.018556 0.027739
2025-05-11 0.001285 0.002557 0.004568 0.007789 0.012608 0.019312 0.029069
2025-05-18 0.001193 0.002437 0.004437 0.007686 0.012598 0.019496 0.029611
2025-05-25 0.001133 0.002368 0.004384 0.007698 0.012759 0.019919 0.030487